Minority Report

Moore, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right.

Updated Thursday, November 12, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°39°1%
US model (GFS)69°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°45°0%
German model (ICON)69°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°43°0%
The average68°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°0%
US model (GFS)56°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°40°0%
German model (ICON)55°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°39°0%
The average56°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 64%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 64%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°39°73%
US model (GFS)58°36°49%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°72%
German model (ICON)56°36°65%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°61%
The average56°37°64%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 40°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°38°91%
US model (GFS)49°40°90%
European model (ECMWF)45°42°99%
German model (ICON)44°40°98%
Canadian model (GEM)42°40°91%
The average45°40°94%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.