Minority Report

Owasso, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right.

Updated Thursday, November 12, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°35°1%
US model (GFS)65°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°44°0%
German model (ICON)64°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°42°0%
The average64°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°32°0%
US model (GFS)52°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°0%
German model (ICON)52°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°32°0%
The average52°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°24%
US model (GFS)56°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°10%
German model (ICON)57°30°2%
Canadian model (GEM)56°28°19%
The average56°33°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 41°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 55%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°37°50%
US model (GFS)57°42°54%
European model (ECMWF)46°44°55%
German model (ICON)46°41°43%
Canadian model (GEM)44°40°73%
The average48°41°55%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.