Ponca City, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right.
Updated Thursday, November 12, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 64° Low 39° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 66° | 34° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 65° | 40° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 62° | 43° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 64° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 39° | 0% |
| The average | 64° | 39° | 0% |
High 53° Low 35° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 37° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 36° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 35° | 0% |
High 54° Low 35° Rain 29%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 38° | 44% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 33° | 11% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 36° | 23% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 34° | 22% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 34° | 47% |
| The average | 54° | 35° | 29% |
High 46° Low 40° Rain 67%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 35° | 70% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 43° | 70% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 42° | 45% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 41° | 63% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 40° | 87% |
| The average | 46° | 40° | 67% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.