Minority Report

Shawnee, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right.

Updated Thursday, November 12, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°39°1%
US model (GFS)70°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°46°0%
German model (ICON)67°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°44°0%
The average68°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°37°1%
US model (GFS)56°39°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°39°0%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°38°0%
The average55°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 55%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 55%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°40°66%
US model (GFS)57°34°39%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°65%
German model (ICON)56°34°54%
Canadian model (GEM)56°34°53%
The average56°36°55%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°39°89%
US model (GFS)48°40°87%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°96%
German model (ICON)45°40°96%
Canadian model (GEM)43°39°91%
The average46°40°92%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.