Minority Report

Stillwater, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right.

Updated Thursday, November 12, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°35°1%
US model (GFS)66°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°44°0%
German model (ICON)66°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°40°0%
The average66°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°0%
US model (GFS)53°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average54°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 43%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°66%
US model (GFS)55°33°20%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°47%
German model (ICON)57°34°38%
Canadian model (GEM)56°32°44%
The average56°35°43%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°36°84%
US model (GFS)47°42°81%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°80%
German model (ICON)46°41°82%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°90%
The average46°40°83%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.