Minority Report

Tulsa, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right.

Updated Thursday, November 12, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°36°1%
US model (GFS)65°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°43°0%
German model (ICON)64°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°44°0%
The average65°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°0%
US model (GFS)52°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°0%
The average52°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 15%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°39°31%
US model (GFS)56°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°11%
German model (ICON)57°30°5%
Canadian model (GEM)55°29°25%
The average55°33°15%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 41°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 15°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 65%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°38°61%
US model (GFS)57°45°67%
European model (ECMWF)46°43°56%
German model (ICON)46°41°49%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°90%
The average48°41°65%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.